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2026-27 NHL · Rest-of-season rankings

2026-27 fantasy hockey rankings

Skaters and goalies ranked together for Yahoo's default categories and points leagues, from a model trained on every NHL season since 2013-14. Rest-of-season: each player's projection updated with this season's games, times his team's games left.

#PlayerValueADPGPGAPPPSOGHITBLK+/-
1Nathan MacKinnon C · COL16.3276 0.470.920.484.460.730.540.41
2Connor McDavid C · EDM16.1273 0.521.230.583.230.730.440.40
3Leon Draisaitl C · EDM12.31171 0.560.810.553.330.500.260.31
4Nikita Kucherov RW · TBL12.1474 0.511.060.482.790.370.400.29
5Macklin Celebrini C · SJS10.9476 0.510.930.453.820.590.80-0.05
6Nick Suzuki C · MTL10.72278 0.420.790.382.341.190.660.35
7Kirill Kaprizov LW · MIN10.62074 0.570.610.433.410.630.360.21
8Evan Bouchard D · EDM9.51578 0.300.840.382.970.571.230.29
9Jack Eichel C · VGK9.32672 0.430.930.512.940.410.530.13
10Cutter Gauthier LW · ANA8.85478 0.440.470.403.571.070.540.06
11Jason Robertson LW · DAL8.7878 0.480.610.363.020.660.380.14
12Martin Necas C · COL8.73475 0.430.700.332.820.960.320.25
13Tim Stützle C · OTT8.45377 0.410.690.342.471.830.550.14
14David Pastrnak RW · BOS8.2875 0.400.710.293.631.260.400.06
15Dylan Guenther RW · UTA8.06572 0.490.530.533.390.770.32-0.00
16Sebastian Aho C · CAR7.96375 0.430.660.422.760.660.320.16
17Cale Makar D · COL7.91175 0.300.810.452.610.431.640.24
18Kyle Connor LW · WPG7.62475 0.470.650.393.760.380.49-0.05
19Matt Boldy LW · MIN7.41075 0.430.540.333.690.770.840.06
20Wyatt Johnston C · DAL7.32979 0.460.530.382.880.710.750.03
21Cole Caufield RW · MTL7.21477 0.470.430.313.060.880.360.14
22Jack Hughes C · NJD7.14870 0.450.700.413.700.150.430.05
23Brandon Hagel LW · TBL6.86974 0.420.590.173.320.630.550.28
24Tage Thompson C · BUF6.82475 0.480.470.233.741.040.540.04
25Alex DeBrincat RW · DET6.52678 0.440.530.303.010.690.570.07
26Andrei Svechnikov RW · CAR6.411972 0.350.530.342.952.370.340.05
27Jake Guentzel C · TBL6.12874 0.420.630.302.790.490.510.15
28Clayton Keller RW · UTA6.04676 0.320.810.482.640.150.47-0.02
29Auston Matthews C · TOR5.61170 0.450.570.263.580.651.120.08
30Lucas Raymond LW · DET5.513478 0.340.670.402.630.530.38-0.02
31Filip Forsberg LW · NSH5.21877 0.400.530.272.861.410.47-0.05
32Brady Tkachuk LW · FLA5.02071 0.330.320.243.443.130.35-0.04
33Zach Werenski D · CBJ5.01274 0.240.760.293.140.271.670.13
34Drake Batherson RW · OTT5.010577 0.390.460.322.161.830.340.02
35Mikko Rantanen RW · DAL4.86971 0.410.670.312.430.700.630.11
36Andrei Vasilevskiy G · TBL4.82251 W 0.56/start · SV% 0.907 · GAA 2.33
37Adrian Kempe RW · LAK4.65477 0.360.430.273.011.440.41-0.05
38Quinn Hughes D · MIN4.63272 0.200.870.402.630.160.980.11
39William Nylander RW · TOR4.23572 0.460.650.342.570.260.40-0.04
40Dylan Larkin C · DET4.17872 0.420.490.313.020.540.49-0.00
41Juraj Slafkovský LW · MTL3.95978 0.330.460.272.191.470.720.05
42Jesper Wallstedt G · MIN3.816339 W 0.56/start · SV% 0.913 · GAA 2.42
43Mitch Marner RW · VGK3.85575 0.320.690.342.170.510.540.04
44Rasmus Dahlin D · BUF3.74374 0.240.600.232.741.481.310.06
45Mark Stone RW · VGK3.715369 0.340.580.362.030.830.770.17
46Artemi Panarin LW · LAK3.64075 0.410.650.322.860.230.17-0.14
47Leo Carlsson C · ANA3.613774 0.370.610.352.270.330.600.01
48Nick Schmaltz C · UTA3.610677 0.390.490.312.730.310.48-0.05
49Jesper Bratt LW · NJD3.512778 0.260.610.302.360.890.320.01
50Bo Horvat C · NYI3.510671 0.410.380.273.110.950.550.01
51Sidney Crosby C · PIT3.56072 0.360.600.282.640.980.36-0.02
52Dylan Cozens C · OTT3.411278 0.280.350.222.462.640.46-0.04
53Jake Oettinger G · DAL3.44749 W 0.56/start · SV% 0.894 · GAA 2.57
54Seth Jarvis RW · CAR3.49163 0.430.510.282.891.180.530.11
55Joel Eriksson Ek C · MIN3.417973 0.300.410.252.611.520.560.09
56Sam Reinhart C · FLA3.25571 0.400.430.332.431.270.63-0.01
57Beckett Sennecke RW · ANA3.215680 0.300.460.212.441.260.530.00
58Matthew Schaefer D · NYI3.13181 0.250.530.272.730.501.31-0.02
59Tomas Hertl C · VGK3.014170 0.340.380.322.541.530.650.03
60Alex Ovechkin LW · WSH3.05572 0.410.360.232.641.750.27-0.04
61Kirill Marchenko RW · TOR3.04774 0.340.460.292.711.110.52-0.06
62Adam Fantilli C · CBJ2.911976 0.360.380.152.441.890.750.01
63Vasily Podkolzin RW · EDM2.9215+76 0.250.270.142.153.120.520.10
64Joel Hofer G · STL2.914542 W 0.48/start · SV% 0.909 · GAA 2.53
65Nico Hischier C · NJD2.87375 0.360.440.262.300.710.780.07
66Mathew Barzal C · NYI2.818474 0.260.630.272.360.510.630.09
67Mackenzie Blackwood G · COL2.714342 W 0.62/start · SV% 0.904 · GAA 2.60
68Mika Zibanejad C · NYR2.73976 0.280.550.292.161.040.73-0.00
69Timo Meier RW · NJD2.69173 0.330.330.123.621.740.69-0.07
70Nazem Kadri C · COL2.613375 0.290.420.272.820.650.350.02
71Moritz Seider D · DET2.62578 0.120.500.312.351.692.170.02
72Jakob Chychrun D · WSH2.65075 0.260.460.252.650.651.410.09
73Matthew Tkachuk LW · FLA2.63364 0.360.490.292.701.590.270.03
74Steven Stamkos C · NSH2.66076 0.420.360.322.350.960.43-0.12
75Igor Shesterkin G · NYR2.59252 W 0.48/start · SV% 0.905 · GAA 2.66
76Logan Thompson G · WSH2.55544 W 0.56/start · SV% 0.902 · GAA 2.74
77Artturi Lehkonen LW · COL2.4215+69 0.340.380.182.140.790.720.33
78Matthew Knies LW · CBJ2.315577 0.340.460.192.001.780.47-0.04
79Sam Bennett C · FLA2.214372 0.310.430.172.411.980.380.02
80Alex Laferriere RW · LAK2.219278 0.280.340.062.382.600.570.02
81Tom Wilson RW · WSH2.212472 0.340.370.171.912.611.010.04
82Carter Hart G · VGK2.216035 W 0.52/start · SV% 0.909 · GAA 2.41
83Lane Hutson D · MTL2.17279 0.100.810.241.640.371.490.18
84Alexis Lafrenière LW · NYR2.119777 0.330.400.152.221.220.420.06
85Will Cuylle LW · NYR2.019778 0.190.310.142.163.460.51-0.04
86Mark Scheifele C · WPG1.94576 0.360.610.241.970.540.54-0.04
87Alex Tuch RW · WSH1.92976 0.370.350.112.181.071.030.14
88Mikhail Sergachev D · UTA1.910371 0.150.680.382.230.681.570.03
89Roope Hintz C · DAL1.916372 0.290.480.241.951.120.380.11
90Connor Bedard C · CHI1.910859 0.430.670.343.210.710.42-0.13
91Dylan Holloway LW · STL1.811471 0.340.410.172.452.230.66-0.07
92Brock Nelson C · COL1.810376 0.320.410.272.050.420.620.08
93Jet Greaves G · CBJ1.819250 W 0.54/start · SV% 0.904 · GAA 2.80
94Casey DeSmith G · DAL1.7–35 W 0.56/start · SV% 0.908 · GAA 2.56
95Brayden Point C · TBL1.712571 0.380.490.262.150.210.560.07
96Jacob Markstrom G · FLA1.620544 W 0.53/start · SV% 0.898 · GAA 2.80
97Jimmy Snuggerud RW · STL1.6215+76 0.320.410.162.561.070.51-0.02
98Logan Cooley C · UTA1.613571 0.280.530.371.781.160.52-0.04
99Nikolaj Ehlers LW · CAR1.613174 0.270.500.302.490.410.36-0.02
100Owen Tippett RW · PHI1.510475 0.320.270.102.552.250.74-0.03
101Scott Wedgewood G · COL1.54838 W 0.54/start · SV% 0.901 · GAA 2.45
102John Gibson G · DET1.415953 W 0.44/start · SV% 0.901 · GAA 2.70
103Connor Hellebuyck G · WPG1.411249 W 0.41/start · SV% 0.907 · GAA 2.71
104Jake Sanderson D · OTT1.39273 0.160.580.292.270.591.850.08
105Ilya Sorokin G · NYI1.38545 W 0.47/start · SV% 0.901 · GAA 2.80
106Zach Hyman LW · EDM1.34863 0.400.330.232.821.020.360.08
107Elias Pettersson C · VAN1.37670 0.260.550.321.901.901.29-0.11
108Ryan Leonard RW · WSH1.2215+75 0.290.300.142.321.810.430.03
109Morgan Geekie C · BOS1.112074 0.320.340.201.941.680.410.00
110Shane Pinto C · OTT1.1215+71 0.270.400.102.161.740.590.15
111Will Smith C · SJS1.117572 0.380.530.282.320.330.28-0.12
112Linus Ullmark G · OTT1.112240 W 0.57/start · SV% 0.898 · GAA 2.59
113Dylan Strome C · WSH1.117877 0.260.580.331.730.310.66-0.04
114Karel Vejmelka G · UTA1.18354 W 0.51/start · SV% 0.893 · GAA 2.77
115John Tavares C · TOR1.011074 0.340.440.232.610.860.55-0.15
116Adam Fox D · NYR1.011071 0.130.740.291.430.451.300.20
117Travis Konecny RW · PHI1.014475 0.280.500.192.101.470.56-0.07
118J.T. Miller C · NYR1.013069 0.280.500.241.901.840.67-0.03
119Quinton Byfield RW · LAK1.019177 0.310.430.202.300.790.53-0.06
120Jeremy Swayman G · BOS0.910246 W 0.48/start · SV% 0.894 · GAA 2.84
121Brandon Bussi G · CAR0.713740 W 0.50/start · SV% 0.896 · GAA 2.67
122Colten Ellis G · BUF0.6–27 W 0.62/start · SV% 0.913 · GAA 2.52
123Miro Heiskanen D · DAL0.59472 0.160.560.282.190.321.560.08
124Pavel Dorofeyev RW · NYR0.59372 0.320.310.262.900.430.42-0.08
125Jared McCann LW · SEA0.517770 0.290.450.242.650.470.38-0.03
126Carter Verhaeghe C · FLA0.516574 0.290.340.152.290.720.310.08
127Josh Morrissey D · WPG0.49074 0.130.620.262.300.511.46-0.00
128Kiefer Sherwood LW · SJS0.421271 0.220.190.071.734.730.34-0.05
129Brad Marchand LW · FLA0.417167 0.340.360.262.410.890.32-0.02
130Jordan Binnington G · STL0.4215+39 W 0.46/start · SV% 0.908 · GAA 2.91
131Roman Josi D · NSH0.35070 0.190.630.352.280.531.47-0.11
132Bobby McMann C · SEA0.2215+71 0.300.180.092.651.970.540.02
133Cole Perfetti C · WPG0.2215+72 0.270.380.272.251.080.54-0.08
134Bryan Rust RW · PIT0.213165 0.370.450.242.480.620.85-0.05
135Evgeni Malkin C · PIT0.218470 0.280.520.292.180.290.42-0.04
136Joey Daccord G · SEA0.1215+46 W 0.48/start · SV% 0.902 · GAA 2.90
137Erik Karlsson D · PIT0.19974 0.130.630.292.020.300.960.01
138Gabriel Vilardi C · WPG0.117771 0.340.490.331.990.260.48-0.11
139Jackson Blake RW · CAR0.0215+77 0.230.410.212.260.230.520.02
140Rickard Rakell RW · PIT0.017469 0.310.380.222.301.340.68-0.08
141William Eklund LW · OTT0.020476 0.220.470.212.250.730.54-0.06
142Connor Ingram G · EDM0.0215+31 W 0.49/start · SV% 0.900 · GAA 2.66
143Jack Quinn RW · BUF0.0215+71 0.300.320.142.520.760.430.05
144Cam Talbot G · DET0.0215+32 W 0.46/start · SV% 0.908 · GAA 2.78
145Sergei Bobrovsky G · TOR-0.018151 W 0.43/start · SV% 0.896 · GAA 2.83
146Lawson Crouse LW · UTA-0.0215+76 0.220.220.081.852.510.530.08
147Anton Lundell C · FLA-0.1215+72 0.240.370.152.331.230.570.02
148Filip Gustavsson G · MIN-0.219231 W 0.52/start · SV% 0.899 · GAA 2.71
149Kevin Fiala LW · LAK-0.319766 0.330.380.282.550.770.36-0.11
150Robert Thomas C · STL-0.418871 0.250.640.271.800.110.54-0.04
151JJ Peterka RW · BOS-0.521076 0.330.330.142.250.320.32-0.01
152Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen G · BUF-0.516239 W 0.53/start · SV% 0.890 · GAA 2.92
153Aliaksei Protas LW · WSH-0.6215+74 0.290.410.051.810.390.500.19
154Jacob Fowler G · MTL-0.6–20 W 0.58/start · SV% 0.912 · GAA 2.47
155Luke Evangelista RW · NJD-0.616574 0.240.400.172.340.400.43-0.00
156Ivan Barbashev LW · VGK-0.7215+74 0.230.400.091.491.670.400.08
157Charlie McAvoy D · BOS-0.712868 0.130.580.221.831.231.750.06
158Matty Beniers C · SEA-0.721277 0.260.430.151.620.640.730.04
159David Rittich G · NYI-0.7–27 W 0.49/start · SV% 0.901 · GAA 2.68
160Spencer Knight G · CHI-0.820155 W 0.48/start · SV% 0.898 · GAA 3.03
161Lukas Dostal G · ANA-0.8215+42 W 0.56/start · SV% 0.893 · GAA 2.91
162Brock Faber D · MIN-0.820072 0.140.470.162.110.521.630.13
163Anthony Stolarz G · TOR-0.9215+26 W 0.47/start · SV% 0.908 · GAA 2.71
164Charlie Coyle C · CBJ-0.920578 0.180.450.151.361.310.630.03
165Jake Allen G · NJD-0.9215+35 W 0.53/start · SV% 0.899 · GAA 2.89
166Anthony Cirelli C · TBL-0.9215+73 0.240.320.081.710.670.890.23
167Vincent Trocheck C · UTA-1.08571 0.220.370.141.582.670.87-0.09
168Brayden Schenn C · NYI-1.0215+75 0.180.350.121.652.130.49-0.01
169Logan Stankoven C · CAR-1.0215+72 0.260.280.112.350.720.400.07
170Stuart Skinner G · WPG-1.0215+45 W 0.47/start · SV% 0.892 · GAA 2.99
171Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C · EDM-1.021368 0.250.430.281.980.470.46-0.02
172Shayne Gostisbehere D · CAR-1.017270 0.150.500.331.780.490.87-0.01
173Akira Schmid G · FLA-1.0215+25 W 0.49/start · SV% 0.909 · GAA 2.83
174Joonas Korpisalo G · BOS-1.1215+33 W 0.54/start · SV% 0.899 · GAA 2.92
175Mason McTavish C · STL-1.1215+72 0.280.300.142.131.410.35-0.06
176Samuel Ersson G · OTT-1.1215+31 W 0.45/start · SV% 0.899 · GAA 2.83
177Dmitri Voronkov LW · CBJ-1.2215+69 0.240.280.161.771.660.530.03
178Ivan Demidov RW · MTL-1.219365 0.260.510.201.940.590.330.02
179Anton Forsberg G · LAK-1.2215+41 W 0.42/start · SV% 0.898 · GAA 3.00
180Sebastian Cossa G · UTA-1.3–14 W 0.54/start · SV% 0.925 · GAA 2.52
181Pavel Zacha C · BOS-1.320775 0.230.350.161.820.770.580.02
182Shea Theodore D · VGK-1.319970 0.130.520.152.030.031.310.19
183Thomas Harley D · DAL-1.317774 0.130.380.121.770.601.570.20
184Calvin Pickard G · EDM-1.3–19 W 0.54/start · SV% 0.911 · GAA 2.75
185Alex Lyon G · BUF-1.421327 W 0.58/start · SV% 0.898 · GAA 2.88
186Tyler Toffoli C · SJS-1.420571 0.270.300.172.180.690.36-0.01
187Fabian Zetterlund LW · OTT-1.4215+76 0.190.280.071.711.980.570.04
188Jackson LaCombe D · ANA-1.412575 0.120.530.181.700.921.750.00
189Samuel Montembeault G · MTL-1.4–27 W 0.48/start · SV% 0.902 · GAA 2.74
190Sergei Murashov G · PIT-1.49916 W 0.45/start · SV% 0.916 · GAA 2.94
191Philipp Grubauer G · SEA-1.4215+31 W 0.44/start · SV% 0.900 · GAA 2.80
192Jordan Eberle RW · SEA-1.5215+70 0.250.370.231.850.600.61-0.01
193Josh Doan RW · BUF-1.5215+71 0.250.290.152.011.100.52-0.00
194Matvei Michkov RW · PHI-1.517776 0.290.370.142.100.400.43-0.08
195Thomas Chabot D · OTT-1.59170 0.130.410.122.100.672.160.15
196Zachary Bolduc RW · MTL-1.5–69 0.270.220.121.631.810.510.06
197Anders Lee LW · UTA-1.521475 0.220.280.072.081.310.600.01
198Ryan O'Reilly C · NSH-1.514676 0.220.500.251.800.310.74-0.14
199Jordan Kyrou RW · WSH-1.515974 0.250.310.182.130.380.42-0.02
200Charlie Lindgren G · WSH-1.5215+26 W 0.50/start · SV% 0.904 · GAA 2.90
201Trevor Zegras C · PHI-1.619973 0.270.440.191.710.520.37-0.06
202Luke Hughes D · NJD-1.620972 0.130.460.222.390.280.70-0.03
203Dougie Hamilton D · NJD-1.618969 0.160.390.172.641.231.24-0.11
204MacKenzie Weegar D · UTA-1.64775 0.100.280.071.882.652.62-0.01
205Jonas Johansson G · TBL-1.7–23 W 0.53/start · SV% 0.896 · GAA 2.71
206Daniil Tarasov G · FLA-1.7215+24 W 0.51/start · SV% 0.901 · GAA 2.78
207Connor McMichael LW · STL-1.7215+75 0.240.360.132.010.550.48-0.02
208Devon Toews D · COL-1.720169 0.080.400.111.390.621.210.38
209Zach Benson LW · BUF-1.8215+73 0.200.370.101.760.840.390.08
210Dennis Hildeby G · TOR-1.8–22 W 0.46/start · SV% 0.906 · GAA 2.86
211Noah Dobson D · MTL-1.83474 0.130.490.122.100.911.85-0.03
212Pavel Buchnevich LW · STL-1.8215+75 0.230.350.171.700.510.360.00
213Frederik Andersen G · CAR-1.8215+17 W 0.54/start · SV% 0.907 · GAA 2.71
214Brock Boeser RW · VAN-1.818272 0.310.390.221.970.860.37-0.23
215Tyler Bertuzzi LW · CHI-1.920274 0.300.320.161.680.940.28-0.10
216Jake DeBrusk LW · VAN-1.917074 0.260.300.172.390.870.45-0.18
217Fraser Minten C · BOS-1.9215+77 0.200.220.041.691.540.470.08
218Blake Coleman LW · MIN-1.919871 0.220.240.101.931.990.65-0.04
219Parker Kelly C · COL-1.9215+76 0.170.270.011.222.090.830.15
220Juuse Saros G · NSH-1.919150 W 0.38/start · SV% 0.897 · GAA 3.13
221Mackie Samoskevich RW · SEA-1.9–72 0.240.220.111.931.670.44-0.05
222Alexander Nikishin D · CAR-2.0215+72 0.110.270.111.621.701.340.15
223Darcy Kuemper G · LAK-2.018043 W 0.45/start · SV% 0.891 · GAA 2.99
224Emil Heineman LW · NYI-2.0215+71 0.230.170.061.622.850.50-0.03
225Eeli Tolvanen RW · NYR-2.0215+74 0.230.180.071.532.211.090.00
226Tristan Jarry G · EDM-2.0215+27 W 0.47/start · SV% 0.892 · GAA 2.96
227Ben Kindel C · PIT-2.0215+71 0.280.320.162.330.610.62-0.12
228Viktor Arvidsson LW · DET-2.0215+68 0.280.330.182.200.400.58-0.05
229Dylan Garand G · NYR-2.1215+13 W 0.44/start · SV% 0.920 · GAA 2.64
230Cole Sillinger C · CBJ-2.1215+74 0.210.280.041.901.210.520.06
231Chris Kreider LW · MTL-2.1215+71 0.240.350.141.681.220.34-0.04
232Sam Malinski D · COL-2.1215+72 0.090.290.031.810.571.420.36
233Jake Neighbours LW · STL-2.1215+73 0.220.240.111.432.380.60-0.06
234Valeri Nichushkin RW · CBJ-2.120368 0.280.350.141.880.830.51-0.02
235Justus Annunen G · NSH-2.2–19 W 0.45/start · SV% 0.899 · GAA 2.76
236James Reimer G · OTT-2.2215+16 W 0.49/start · SV% 0.897 · GAA 2.56
237Laurent Brossoit G · SJS-2.2215+10 W 0.52/start · SV% 0.918 · GAA 2.40
238Dawson Mercer C · NJD-2.2215+78 0.230.280.092.070.480.60-0.01
239Mikael Granlund C · ANA-2.219768 0.240.430.221.680.540.65-0.05
240Filip Hronek D · VAN-2.317472 0.080.560.211.571.322.06-0.09
241Nico Daws G · NJD-2.3215+25 W 0.48/start · SV% 0.899 · GAA 3.14
242Trent Miner G · COL-2.3–9 W 0.51/start · SV% 0.915 · GAA 2.92
243Claude Giroux RW · OTT-2.3215+75 0.160.380.121.610.720.320.06
244Mattias Ekholm D · EDM-2.320371 0.080.300.031.470.981.300.35
245John Carlson D · TBL-2.46672 0.100.530.161.860.421.300.02
246Matt Villalta G · UTA-2.4–10 W 0.58/start · SV% 0.922 · GAA 2.34
247Devin Cooley G · CGY-2.4–21 W 0.44/start · SV% 0.908 · GAA 3.04
248Josh Manson D · COL-2.4215+68 0.090.290.001.392.111.290.27
249Marco Rossi C · VAN-2.421469 0.300.350.181.771.120.63-0.16
250Marc-Andre Fleury G · MIN-2.4–14 W 0.59/start · SV% 0.905 · GAA 2.89

Stats are projected per game. GP is projected games left (starts for goalies), after known injuries. Value is above a replacement-level player in a 12-team league with Yahoo's default roster (2 C, 2 LW, 2 RW, 4 D, 2 G).

How accurate is it?

We re-ran the projections for 8 past seasons (2018-19 through 2025-26), using only what was known before each season, and compared them with what players actually did. The usual shortcut is a weighted average of a player's last three seasons; here's how the model compares.

Average error per gameModel3-season average
Goals0.0560.062
Assists0.0760.086
Power-play points0.0420.045
Shots on goal0.2760.309
Hits0.2970.303
Blocks0.1650.181
Ice time (minutes)1.3081.487
Games played (season)14.49316.168
Goalie save %0.0110.0118
Goalie wins per start0.09910.1145
Goalie starts (season)10.717711.1514

Of each season's top 100 skaters, the model's top 100 caught 70 on average in categories leagues (68 for the 3-season average) and 67 in points leagues (62).

How the rankings work

Projections
Gradient-boosted models trained on about 10,000 NHL player-seasons learn how players change from their last three seasons: ice time and power-play time (the strongest predictor of scoring), shooting percentage against career norms (hot shooting cools off), age, draft slot, team changes and team strength.
This season
Each player's projection is updated with this season's games, stat by stat: ice time and power-play time take over within a few games, shooting and scoring take much longer.
Goalies
Starts, save percentage, wins and shutouts are projected the same way. Save percentage and GAA count by volume, so a goalie who starts 60 games moves the needle more than a backup. In categories leagues, goalie value is scaled so about as many goalies land in the top 100 as real drafts take (around 11); within the goalies, the order is all model.
Formats
Yahoo defaults. Categories: G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT (blocks optional); goalies W, GAA, SV%, SO. Points: G 6, A 4, +/- 2, PPP 2, SOG 0.9, BLK 1; goalies W 5, GA -3, SV 0.6, SO 5.
ADP
Average draft position in ESPN leagues (updated 2026-10-07). 215+ means last round or undrafted.
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